GrayZone

Statistics & charts

Data

Data confidence — Casualty and territorial figures vary significantly by source type. Government claims, NGO/tracker data (e.g. ACLED), independent journalism, and militant claims frequently disagree, sometimes by wide margins. Where sources conflict, this platform shows the individual reported figures side by side rather than averaging or picking one. See Sources & Methodology for the full provenance system and known limitations of each source.

Total deaths recorded

53,855

4,224 military · 18,622 civilian · 31,009 militant

Total defence spending (allocated)

₦19.43tn

≈ $31.44bn (each year at its own rate, not today's). Across 17 fiscal years with data.

Equipment gain value

$1.12bn

Reported or estimated (comparable-deal basis, marked "est." in the table) value found for 5 of 14 gain events — the rest aren't counted here.

Equipment loss value

$196.8m

Reported or estimated (comparable-deal/original-acquisition basis, marked "est." in the table) value found for 12 of 15 loss events — the rest aren't counted here.

Internally displaced people

3,655,956

Northeast 2,333,190 (as of Oct 2025) + Northwest/North-central 1,322,766 (as of Oct 2024) — different survey schedules, summed as the closest honest estimate. A separate UNHCR national total (all causes, not conflict-disaggregated) puts it at 3,500,000 as of Dec 2024.

Fatalities by year

Sums the researcher’s reconciled per-incident fatality estimates, attributed to the perpetrating actor. Individual citation-level figures (which may diverge from these totals) are available on each incident and timeline entry.

Internally displaced people

IDP counts over time, primarily from IOM’s Displacement Tracking Matrix and UN OCHA situation reports. Nigeria’s displacement crisis has multiple overlapping drivers (Northeast insurgency, Northwest banditry, and non-conflict causes like flooding) — figures are labeled by cause where the source distinguishes them, and shown as reported, not reconciled into a single number.

Military spending vs. year

Allocated budget (Appropriation Act) vs. actual/reported spend (Ministry of Defence releases), by fiscal year.

Converted using each fiscal year's own USD/NGN rate -- never today's rate applied to a past year, which would understate older years given how much the naira has devalued since. 2009, 2010, 2012, 2013, 2014, 2015, 2016, 2017, 2018, 2019, 2020, 2021, 2022, 2023 use a separately sourced historical annual rate (the live rate feed only has daily data from March 2024 onward); other years use that live feed's mid-year snapshot. Not an authoritative central-bank figure.

Current rate (today): 1 USD ≈ ₦1363

Equipment roster

Current fleet by type, not a transaction log — what the armed forces are assessed to actually hold, separate from what’s on order but not yet delivered. Primarily sourced from Wikipedia’s equipment lists (an explicit exception to this site’s usual rule against citing Wikipedia directly — it aggregates many sources and tracks delivered-vs-ordered status better than any single article), spot-checked against defense press where noted. Treat “in service” as a current best estimate, not a verified headcount.

Army

TypeCategoryOriginIn serviceOn orderSource
T-54/T-55 MBT*TanksUSSR100Wikipedia (Nigerian military equipment lists)
T-72AV MBT*TanksRussia/USSR10Wikipedia (Nigerian military equipment lists)
T-72M1 MBT*TanksRussia/USSR31Wikipedia (Nigerian military equipment lists)
Vickers Mk3 MBT ('Eagle')*TanksUK172Wikipedia (Nigerian military equipment lists)
VT-4 Main Battle TankTanksChina17Wikipedia (Nigerian military equipment lists)
BMP-1 / BMP-2APCs / IFVsUSSR/Czechoslovakia62Wikipedia (Nigerian military equipment lists)
BTR-3U 'Guardian'APCs / IFVsUkraine47Wikipedia (Nigerian military equipment lists)
BTR-60/BTR-70APCs / IFVsUSSR24Wikipedia (Nigerian military equipment lists)
CS/VP3 'Bigfoot' MRAP*APCs / IFVsChina310Wikipedia (Nigerian military equipment lists)
Ezugwu MRAP (all variants)*APCs / IFVsNigeria125Wikipedia (Nigerian military equipment lists)
Isotrex Legion*APCs / IFVsUAE60Wikipedia (Nigerian military equipment lists)
Isotrex Phantom II*APCs / IFVsUAE24Wikipedia (Nigerian military equipment lists)
Mowag Piranha IAPCs / IFVsSwitzerland110Wikipedia (Nigerian military equipment lists)
MT-LBAPCs / IFVsUSSR (via Poland)67Wikipedia (Nigerian military equipment lists)
Saurer 4K 4FAAPCs / IFVsAustria250Wikipedia (Nigerian military equipment lists)
Streit Group Spartan/Warrior/Typhoon*APCs / IFVsCanada/UAE237Wikipedia (Nigerian military equipment lists)
Type 89 AFV (ZSD-85)*APCs / IFVsChina60Wikipedia (Nigerian military equipment lists)
APR-40 / BM-21 Grad / RM-70 MRLArtilleryRomania/USSR/Czechoslovakia37Wikipedia (Nigerian military equipment lists)
D-30, D-74, M46, D-20 towed guns*ArtilleryUSSR191Wikipedia (Nigerian military equipment lists)
OTO Melara Mod 56 (105mm)*ArtilleryItaly124Wikipedia (Nigerian military equipment lists)
Palmaria SPHArtilleryItaly25Wikipedia (Nigerian military equipment lists)
SH-5 / SH-2 self-propelled howitzer*ArtilleryChina15Wikipedia (Nigerian military equipment lists)
Magnus MF-212*Attack helicoptersHungary+3Wikipedia (Nigerian military equipment lists)
MD 530F Cayuse Warrior*Attack helicoptersUSA+12Wikipedia (Nigerian military equipment lists)
Bell UH-1 IroquoisTransport helicoptersUSA2Wikipedia (Nigerian military equipment lists)
Aerosonde Mk4.7*UAVs / dronesUSAWikipedia (Nigerian military equipment lists)
Bayraktar TB2 (Army, original batch)*UAVs / dronesTurkey6Wikipedia (Nigerian military equipment lists)
Ziyan Blowfish A2*UAVs / dronesChinaWikipedia (Nigerian military equipment lists)

Air Force

TypeCategoryOriginIn serviceOn orderSource
A-29B Super Tucano*Fighter aircraftBrazil12Wikipedia (Nigerian military equipment lists)
Alpha Jet*Fighter aircraftFrance8Wikipedia (Nigerian military equipment lists)
Chengdu F-7/FT-7NI*Fighter aircraftChina8Wikipedia (Nigerian military equipment lists)
JF-17 Thunder*Fighter aircraftChina/Pakistan3Wikipedia (Nigerian military equipment lists)
M-346FA 'Master'*Fighter aircraftItaly0+24Wikipedia (Nigerian military equipment lists)
Bell AH-1Z Viper*Attack helicoptersUSA+12Wikipedia (Nigerian military equipment lists)
Mi-24/Mi-35 (combined fleet)*Attack helicoptersRussia15Wikipedia (Nigerian military equipment lists)
TAI T129 ATAK*Attack helicoptersTurkey6Wikipedia (Nigerian military equipment lists)
ATR 42 MPA, Citation CJ3, King Air 360ER, DA42/DA62 MPP (ISR fleet)*Transport aircraftFrance/USA/Austria13Wikipedia (Nigerian military equipment lists)
CASA C-295WTransport aircraftSpain+3Wikipedia (Nigerian military equipment lists)
Dornier 228Transport aircraftGermany6Wikipedia (Nigerian military equipment lists)
Falcon 7X / Gulfstream G550 / A330 (VIP fleet)*Transport aircraftFrance/USA4Wikipedia (Nigerian military equipment lists)
Lockheed C-130HTransport aircraftUSA3Wikipedia (Nigerian military equipment lists)
AW109 (2025 order)*Transport helicoptersItaly2+8Wikipedia (Nigerian military equipment lists)
AW189 / AW139 / AW109 (existing fleet) / Bell 412EP / AS332 / EC135*Transport helicoptersItaly/USA/France30Wikipedia (Nigerian military equipment lists)
Mi-17/Mi-171 (combined)*Transport helicoptersRussia6Wikipedia (Nigerian military equipment lists)
Bayraktar TB2 (NAF, 'Project Guardian')*UAVs / dronesTurkey+43Wikipedia (Nigerian military equipment lists)
CAIG Wing Loong IIUAVs / dronesChina5Wikipedia (Nigerian military equipment lists)
CASC CH-3A/CH-4BUAVs / dronesChina7Wikipedia (Nigerian military equipment lists)
Magnus Sentinel MF-212*UAVs / dronesHungary+20Wikipedia (Nigerian military equipment lists)
Tsaigumi*UAVs / dronesNigeria+6Wikipedia (Nigerian military equipment lists)
Yabhon Flash-20UAVs / dronesUAE2Wikipedia (Nigerian military equipment lists)

Navy

TypeCategoryOriginIn serviceOn orderSource
Westland Lynx Mk.89 / AW109 / AW139 (Naval Air Wing)*Transport helicoptersUK/Italy19Wikipedia (Nigerian military equipment lists)
ALTI Transition, ADS Aerostar, AR-500B, RemoEye 002B (UAVs)*UAVs / dronesSouth Africa/Israel/China/South Korea25Wikipedia (Nigerian military equipment lists)
Andoni classNaval vesselsNigeria5+2Wikipedia (Nigerian military equipment lists)
Centenary class (Type 056)Naval vesselsChina2Wikipedia (Nigerian military equipment lists)
Ekpe class / Siri class*Naval vesselsGermany/France0Wikipedia (Nigerian military equipment lists)
Lerici class minehunterNaval vesselsItaly2Wikipedia (Nigerian military equipment lists)
LST-100 (NNS Kada)Naval vesselsUAE1+1Wikipedia (Nigerian military equipment lists)
Manta classNaval vesselsMalaysia22Wikipedia (Nigerian military equipment lists)
MEKO 360 (NNS Aradu)*Naval vesselsGermany1Wikipedia (Nigerian military equipment lists)
Nguru / Dorina / Okpoku (OCEA) classes*Naval vesselsFrance16Wikipedia (Nigerian military equipment lists)
OPV 76*Naval vesselsTurkey+2Wikipedia (Nigerian military equipment lists)
Sagbama classNaval vesselsChina2Wikipedia (Nigerian military equipment lists)
Shaldag classNaval vesselsIsrael5Wikipedia (Nigerian military equipment lists)
Thunder class OPV (ex-USCG Hamilton)Naval vesselsUSA2Wikipedia (Nigerian military equipment lists)
Zaria classNaval vesselsMalaysia4Wikipedia (Nigerian military equipment lists)

* hover a starred item for a note on conflicting counts or delivery uncertainty. “In service” is a current best estimate, not a verified headcount; “on order” is separate from that estimate, not included in it.

Equipment losses / gains — event log

Discrete acquisition, capture, and destruction events — presented as a sourced table (the record of what happened) plus a timeline strip below it (what that implies about capability over time), since the transactions themselves aren’t a continuous series but their effect on the fleet is. Delivery status is shown per gain event: an order being placed is not the same as units arriving — “status unaudited” means this hasn’t been checked yet, not that it was delivered.

DateItemQtyTypeValueActorSupplier / contextSource
19 Dec 2025JF-17 Thunder Block II (fleet grounded)LossNigerian Armed ForcesChina — Fleet-wide grounding over reported structural and engine issues; quantity affected not specified in available reporting.Global Defense Corp
19 Dec 2025M-346FA fighter jet24Gain · ordered onlyNigerian Armed ForcesItaly — Replacement programme for grounded Chinese-made JF-17 Block II fleet. CORRECTED: this was logged as a completed acquisition but NONE of the 24 aircraft had been delivered as of mid-2026. Only the 3rd airframe had performed its first flight (in Italy, in full NAF livery) as of late April 2026; deliveries are structured in four tranches of six and are not expected complete until mid-to-late 2026 at the earliest.The Aviationist
15 Jan 2025AW-109 helicopter10Gain · partial (2/10)Nigerian Armed ForcesItaly — Part of a reported EUR 1.2 billion Italian defence package; phased delivery into early 2026. Of the 10-unit Jan 2025 order, ~2 confirmed delivered/inducted (16 May 2025); 3 more completed factory acceptance testing Jun-Jul 2026 but had not yet been delivered as of that reporting; remainder still pending.Military Africa
19 Dec 2024Bayraktar TB2 armed drone ('Project Guardian' expansion)43Gain · ordered onlyNigerian Armed ForcesTurkey — Baykar; expanded order announced Dec 19 2024 under 'Project Guardian'. Dec 2024 announcement and a personnel-training/winging ceremony are confirmed; no source found confirming the drones themselves have physically arrived in Nigeria or entered service, despite one report stating delivery was 'due' Jan 2025. Do not assume delivered.Punch
03 Sept 2024T-129 ATAK attack helicopter6Gain · delivered$180.0m(est.)Nigerian Armed ForcesTurkey — TAI/AgustaWestland; contract signed Jul 2022; first batch (2) delivered Nov 2023, second batch (2) delivered Sep 3 2024, Makurdi. Quantity corrected from a previously-logged 4 to the confirmed total order/delivery of 6 (batch 1: 2 units Nov 2023; batch 2: 2 units Sep 2024; remaining 2 entered service by ~Jan 2025).Military Africa
01 Oct 2023Bayraktar TB2 armed drone system6Gain · deliveredNigerian Armed ForcesTurkey — Baykar; initial system of 6 UCAVs + 2 ground control stations, photos released Aug 20 2023, delivery slated Oct 2023.Army Recognition
14 Aug 2023Mi-171 helicopter1Loss$12.0m(est.)Nigerian Armed ForcesCrashed on a casualty-evacuation mission near Chukuba village, Shiroro LGA, Niger State; approx. 24 killed.Al Jazeera
19 Apr 2022Super Mushak trainer aircraft1LossNigerian Armed ForcesKaduna.Leadership (Nigeria)
18 Jul 2021Alpha Jet1Loss$10.0m(est.)Nigerian Armed ForcesReported shot down by 'bandits' in Zamfara State; pilot Fl. Lt. Abayomi Dairo ejected safely.Council on Foreign Relations
20 May 2021JF-17 Thunder multirole fighter3Gain · delivered$184.3mNigerian Armed ForcesPakistan — Pakistan Aeronautical Complex; first aircraft arrived Mar 21 2021, formal induction/handover May 20-21 2021, Makurdi. All 3 physically delivered, but independent reporting says the fleet has since been largely grounded over technical/reliability issues -- only ~1 aircraft reported operational as of early 2026. 'Delivered' here refers to physical handover, not current operational status.Global Defense Corp
31 Mar 2021Alpha Jet (NAF475)1Loss$10.0m(est.)Nigerian Armed ForcesBoko Haram (Shekau faction) released video claiming a shoot-down; NAF disputed the claim, calling it a possible accident. Wreckage found in Sambisa Forest about a year later.Leadership (Nigeria)
21 Feb 2021King Air 3501Loss$12.4m(est.)Nigerian Armed ForcesDestroyed, Abuja; 7 dead, including Chief of Army Staff Ibrahim Attahiru.Leadership (Nigeria)
09 Dec 2020Kia KLTV-181 tactical vehicle + Toyota Land Cruiser 'technical'2Loss$800k(est.)Nigerian Armed ForcesCaptured by ISWAP (Amaq media release) in the Alagarno forest-Timbuktu triangle, Borno; the KLTV-181 had only recently been delivered to the Nigerian Army earlier in 2020.Global Upfront
06 Feb 2020Mi-171E helicopter (modernized)2Gain · deliveredNigerian Armed ForcesRussia — Ulan-Ude Aviation Plant; second unit arrived Dec 2 2019 (NAF Makurdi, via Il-76), induction ceremony Feb 6 2020, Abuja.DefenceWeb
18 Nov 2019Ezugwu MRAP (locally built)28Gain · partial (25/28)Nigerian Armed ForcesNigeria — Nigerian-made; ordered 2019, with a further 52 ordered later. 28 ordered Nov 2019; first batch of 25 actually delivered/handed over Dec 2019.Overt Defense
02 Jan 2019Mi-35 attack helicopter1Loss$27.0m(est.)Nigerian Armed ForcesDestroyed, Damasak, Borno; 5 dead.Leadership (Nigeria)
01 Jan 2019NORINCO CS/VP3 'Bigfoot' MRAP200Gain · status unaudited$152.0mNigerian Armed ForcesChina — Delivered in tranches 2015-2021, including a batch of 50 seen in 2021 alongside 30 Dongfeng Mengshi 4x4s. UNRESOLVED: no source found confirming a 200-unit delivery specifically in 2019 -- Wikipedia's roster breakdown shows tranches of 120 (2015), 40 (2018), 100 (2021), 50 (2024), none matching this logged 200-unit/2019 entry. Flagged for manual re-verification rather than corrected or delivery-audited here.Military Africa
18 Nov 2018'Eagle' battle tanks + APC (Metele base overrun)7Loss$10.5m(est.)Nigerian Armed ForcesISWAP overran the Metele base (Guzamala LGA, Borno) and captured/destroyed 6 tanks + 1 APC in the initial attack; a further tank and gun truck were lost in a follow-up evacuation ambush around Nov 24, 2018. ISWAP claimed 'four tanks' carted away plus vehicles/ammo.Punch
28 Sept 2018F-7NI jet (mid-air collision)2Loss$29.4m(est.)Nigerian Armed ForcesTwo aircraft, mid-air collision, Abuja.Leadership (Nigeria)
01 Apr 2018Mi-35M/Mi-35P attack helicopter4Gain · deliveredNigerian Armed ForcesRussia — 6 ordered 2014, additional 12 ordered Sep 2015 (contract confirmed Oct 2019); 2 delivered Dec 2016, 2 more Apr 2018. 4 of a 12-unit order delivered (2 in Dec 2016, 2 in Apr 2018) -- the order was only partially fulfilled overall; this logged event covers the 4 confirmed-delivered units.DefenceWeb
02 Aug 2017A-29 Super Tucano light attack aircraft12Gain · delivered$593.0mNigerian Armed ForcesUnited States — FMS via Sierra Nevada Corp/Embraer; contract finalized Nov 2018; first batch of 6 delivered/handed over Kano, Jul 22 2021; second batch before end of 2021.GovConWire
06 Jul 2017Agusta 1091Loss$6.0m(est.)Nigerian Armed ForcesBorno River.Leadership (Nigeria)
01 Jun 2017Streit Group Warrior/Typhoon/Spartan armored personnel carriers177Gain · deliveredNigerian Armed ForcesUnited Arab Emirates — Streit Group, manufactured 2016; first batch delivered to the Nigerian Army.Military Africa
15 Nov 2016AgustaWestland AW1011Loss$55.0m(est.)Nigerian Armed ForcesMakurdi.Leadership (Nigeria)
01 Jan 2016MRAP vehicles (US surplus donation)24Gain · delivered$11.0mNigerian Armed ForcesUnited States — AFRICOM donation; an additional 8 units were reported in process at ~$7.4M. Date corrected from a previously-logged 2018 to 2016, per AFRICOM's own donation announcement and TheCable's contemporaneous coverage.US Africa Command (AFRICOM)
10 Oct 2015F-7NI jet1Loss$14.7m(est.)Nigerian Armed ForcesDestroyed, Kaduna.Leadership (Nigeria)
29 Aug 2015Dornier 2281Loss$9.0m(est.)Nigerian Armed ForcesDestroyed, Kaduna; 7 dead.Leadership (Nigeria)
01 Jan 2015Mi-171Sh transport helicopter6Gain · deliveredNigerian Armed ForcesRussia — Rosoboronexport/Ulan-Ude Aviation Plant; order announced Sep 2014, 6 delivered 2015.Shephard Media
27 Sept 2014Panhard ERC-90 Sagaie wheeled AFV + APC2LossNigerian Armed ForcesCaptured by Boko Haram near Konduga, Borno, prior to Sep 27 2014 (initially misreported in some press as a T-55 tank).Council on Foreign Relations
01 Jul 2009Today
JF-17 Thunder Block II (fleet grounded)
grounded
Mi-171 helicopter
grounded
Super Mushak trainer aircraft
grounded
Alpha Jet
grounded
Alpha Jet (NAF475)
grounded
King Air 350
grounded
Kia KLTV-181 tactical vehicle + Toyota Land Cruiser 'technical'
grounded
Mi-35 attack helicopter
grounded
'Eagle' battle tanks + APC (Metele base overrun)
grounded
F-7NI jet (mid-air collision)
grounded
Agusta 109
grounded
AgustaWestland AW101
grounded
F-7NI jet
grounded
Dornier 228
grounded
Panhard ERC-90 Sagaie wheeled AFV + APC
grounded
Mi-171Sh transport helicopter
active
MRAP vehicles (US surplus donation)
active
Streit Group Warrior/Typhoon/Spartan armored personnel carriers
active
A-29 Super Tucano light attack aircraft
active
Mi-35M/Mi-35P attack helicopter
active
NORINCO CS/VP3 'Bigfoot' MRAP
active
Ezugwu MRAP (locally built)
active
Mi-171E helicopter (modernized)
active
JF-17 Thunder multirole fighter
active
Bayraktar TB2 armed drone system
active
T-129 ATAK attack helicopter
active
Bayraktar TB2 armed drone ('Project Guardian' expansion)
active
AW-109 helicopter
active
M-346FA fighter jet
active

active / in service since acquisition start date not known from sourced data loss / grounding event